Bitcoin slowly recovering after Mike Hearn news in January

In the first weeks of January 2016 a leading Bitcoin developer Mike Hearn announced to the world that Bitcoin is dead and broken. In his article he talks about how the community has failed and how the Blockchain technology can’t reliably handle too many transactions at once. He also mentions that the market is controlled by Chinese miners and just two miners control more than half of the entire hash power. Naturally this announcement caused a network wide panic as people were worried Bitcoin is done for good this time.

BitcoinsBitcoin’s death greatly exaggerated

After the usual media shitstorm and Bitcoin selling marathon came along the CNBC and announced to the world that Bitcoin’s death was mostly just exaggeration and even though Bitcoin has been officially declared dead more than 90 times in its relatively short lifespan, the cryptocurrency will rise and continue moving forward just like it has always done.

Moreover, various conspiracy theorists claimed Mike Hearn to be a shill working for MI6 or some other major corporation, perhaps even the central banks. While unlikely, we can’t really rule anything out at this point because one can’t help but wonder whether Mike Hearn profited from the Bitcoin selling that he himself initiated. It’s quite possible that the first wave was in fact from his own Bitcoin stack which he dumped on the market.

Price stabile below 400 USD

After the Mike Hearn news Bitcoin’s value on most markets started to rapidly fall as traders were trying to get rid of a “broken” currency as fast as possible. Eventually the price found stability a little above $360 USD per Bitcoin and has since then been hovering in the sub 400 area for a month.

From the 2nd half of January until mid February 2016 the price of Bitcoin fluctuated systematically between $390-$365 indicating that the speculators were still around and hadn’t abandoned ship completely. The past month has been a very profitable time for the technical traders because of the market’s rather predictable movement.

Testing $400 on Valentine’s day?

It’s Valentine’s day today and interestingly the price of Bitcoin has just increased from $380+ all the way up to $399 within just a few hours. There’s just one more dollar to go before we test the $400 mark and things are looking very good right now. In fact at the time of writing this post the price has already risen to $399,7 quite rapidly so I believe we will see 400 in just a few moments.

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Bitcoin just hit the $420 mark and it doesn’t look like it’s stopping

The last time we saw Bitcoin around these levels was exactly one year ago in November 2014. We were just coming down from a down trend correction that peaked at $667,530 on the 25th of May as people were desperately trying to get rid of their remaining coins and we had no idea where it would stop. Then, less than a month later we finally hit the bottom at $200 where the price remained solid for almost a year, continuously dancing between $260 and $198.

Strong news to back it up

BTC USD Price November Rise ClimbThe first thing that comes to mind when you look at such a chart is obviously that someone’s trying extra hard to manipulate the prices for their own evil profit. I thought so too until I read the following news:

Bitcoin to become the 6th largest global reserve currency by 2030

The above article talks about how global banks are super hyped about the Blockchain technology that Bitcoin is running on and how they have already invested billions of dollars into it. They are finally taking this new technology seriously enough and who can really blame them? It’s a lot more secure and simply a better way to transfer funds than the traditional system we currently have. The article fails to show the relevance of Bitcoin in all this, because as you know, Blockchain is *not* Bitcoin, but there is more!

Chinese Yuan 15-20% devaluation by 2016

Since China is a global giant such news are definitely going to change a lot. The article talks about how China already devaluated their currency in order to help exporters and more devaluation is imminent. The current price rise of Bitcoin is almost entirely made up of money flowing into Bitcoin from China so people are already getting ready for a serious meltdown by the looks of it. This reminds me how Kim DotCom tweeted in August suggesting people to buy Bitcoins now and thank him later.

Regulated Bitcoin exchange, Gemini, set to launch

Gemini is the world’s first legal and regulated Bitcoin exchange with its headquarters located in New York, USA.

Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, famous for their legal spat with Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg, launched bitcoin exchange Gemini on Thursday. While the currency has received criticism for its role in exchanges such as online black market Silk Road, the brothers contend they have established sufficient safeguards to unlock its potential.

Bitcoin now treated legally the same way as money

Bitcoin can now legally be treated the same way as real money after a court ruling on Thursday which stated that Bitcoin transactions are exempt from VAT (value-added tax). That alone is enough to raise the price of Bitcoin considerably for obvious reasons. Even the oldschool investors who didn’t care about Bitcoin before are now looking into this tax-free investment.

Panic buyers fueling the price further

Given all the positive media fuss around Bitcoin lately and seeing the price skyrocketing in a matter of days has got a lot of people standing on their toes right now. The value of Bitcoin rose from $328 up to $420+ in a single day today as more buyers are jumping on the train, thus fueling the rally even further.

$500-$600 a very real possibility

In one of my previous posts I was quite skeptical about the price moving anywhere above the $450 area and even though I still believe we are going to see some resistance at the $454 area, it looks like Bitcoin is just getting started and we have only seen the tip of the iceberg right now. Basically any correction, especially the one that should happen around $454, will be a good entry point for a LONG position from now on.

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