Is 420 the new floor for Bitcoin?

Bitcoin sure likes to blaze it or so it would seem. The price is back around the 420 area where it reached in November 2015. Ever since the Mike Hearn news, Bitcoin has been struggling to break the $400 resistance, but it finally managed to do so just in time for Valentine’s day and while most speculators on BitcoinTalk tend to agree that this is the new floor for the crypto, I’m a little worried about the head and shoulders pattern that’s forming on the hourly charts.

Head and shoulders on 1H

As I’ve stated before I’m a Bitcoin permabull and would love to see the cryptocurrency rise to an all time high this year. I was super excited to see the breakout on Valentine’s day, but it’s possible that this is about to turn south real quick due to the formation of a very popular chart pattern known as the head and shoulders. Have a look at the chart below to see what I mean.

head and shoulders pattern on bitcoin

A great source for learning, Investopedia, explains it pretty well. Basically if the neckline is broken, we can expect a more serious downward movement to take place. Right now it doesn’t look like the neckline is broken just yet, but it’s definitely getting closer due to the selling power increase as indicated by the red bars at the bottom of the chart.

Fundamentals bearing more weight

There’s been plenty of good news on the media surrounding Bitcoin lately and it’s the main reason the cryptocurrency is rising right now. I’ve also noticed that the technical traders are getting burned more often than before with not just trading Bitcoin but pretty much everything else.

For example the popular forex pair EUR/USD surprised many seasoned technical traders this year with a massive surge upward and while I’m not qualified to really speculate on the matter, I saw a very influential trader post on the Forex Factory forums that technical trading is getting more and more difficult to the point where it no longer makes sense to be involved at all. So perhaps the 2016 financial crisis will remove most technical traders out of the equation for Bitcoin as well?

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Bitcoin price likely to increase as we have entered the Elliott 5th wave

BTC price graph chart trend line up trend confirming increase in valueElliott 5th wave

This screenshot shows a trend line that I drew from the lowest point moving upwards. So far so good! The last two bullish candles indicate the 5th wave in the Elliott Wave sequence and according to that logic we can expect the price to move higher than the highest bullish candle that you can also see on the screenshot. This could mean that in the near future we might reach the $450+ area. Other aspects of my technical analysis are also showing a green light. Let’s take a look!

 

 

 

BTC MACD chart graph price movement bitcoin price predictionMACD seems to be crossing

While it’s a little bit too early to say for sure whether MACD will cross in a few days or not, the chances of that happening are quite high. We are seeing it making lower lows and the lines are getting closer and closer together. Should they cross it would mean a confirmation in the overall up trend for Bitcoin!

 

 

 

 

 

RSI chart neutral market condition slight upward movementWhat RSI is telling us?

I am a little bit disappointed that the RSI didn’t move lower. It would have meant a much more intense rally in the future. It seems that we are currently drifting in a neutral area where, once again, upward movement is far more likely to happen.

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